The Effect of Selected Macroeconomic Variables and Expectation Indices on the BIST 100 Index

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Tarih

2022

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Sosyoekonomi Soc

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

Özet

In this study, the macroeconomic factors and expectation indices affecting the BIST 100 index have been examined. The optimum Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model has been created by utilising the Python programming language (Python) using the ARDL method. As a result of the analysis, it has been determined that long-term variables such as United States dollar Turkish lira parity (USD/TRY), Economic Confidence Index (EGE), and Consumer Price Index (TuFE) are correlated in the positive direction with the dependent variable BIST 100 index and in the negative direction with the 5-Year Bond Interest (FAIZ) and Volatility Index (VIX) variables. In contrast, Brent petrol United States dollar parity (BRENT) is not statistically significant.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

BIST 100, Macroeconomic Variables, Expectation Index, ARDL Cointegration Testing, Python Programming Language

Kaynak

Sosyoekonomi

WoS Q Değeri

N/A

Scopus Q Değeri

N/A

Cilt

30

Sayı

54

Künye